Valencia vs Sevilla
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Valencia–
Sevilla–3:00 PM ETRamón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium📺 ESPN+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Friday, September 11, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
3:00 PM ET
Proj1.8–0.8
SevillaHOME62%1.8proj-160fair+136mktModel lean+19.2%Draw24%—proj+312fair+232mkt-5.8%
ValenciaAWAY14%0.8proj+605fair+264mkt-13.3%O2.5 48% · mkt 40%BTTS 46%
ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
La Liga tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Peque1+ Goals24%––Miguel Sierra1+ Goals23%––Robbie Ure1+ Goals21%––Oso1+ Goals20%––
Isaac Romero1+ Goals19%––Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Robbie Ure1+ Shots88%––Peque1+ Shots85%––Miguel Sierra1+ Shots83%––Rafa Mir1+ Shots81%––Akor Adams1+ Shots81%––
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Peque1+ Shots on Target55%––Miguel Sierra1+ Shots on Target52%––Rafa Mir1+ Shots on Target49%––Robbie Ure1+ Shots on Target49%––Akor Adams1+ Shots on Target47%––
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Robbie UreO0.521%––OsoO0.518%––
Rubén VargasO0.514%––Isaac RomeroO0.512%––Akor AdamsO0.510%––
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Robbie Ure38%––Oso34%––
Peque29%––Isaac Romero29%––Miguel Sierra28%––Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsValencia lead 1-02 draws3–2 on goals