Alavés vs Racing Santander
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Alavés–
Racing–8:00 AM ETEl Sardineros📺 ESPN+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Saturday, September 12, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
8:00 AM ET
Proj1.5–1.9
Racing SantanderHOME30%1.5proj+234fair+155mkt-9.2%Draw24%—proj+316fair+267mkt-3.2%
AlavésAWAY46%1.9proj+117fair+201mktModel lean+12.7%O2.5 66% · mkt 54%BTTS 67%
ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Boyé1+ Goals66%––Yassir Zabiri1+ Goals36%––Toni Martínez1+ Goals30%––Lucas Boyé2+ Goals29%––Andrés Martín1+ Goals28%––Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Toni Martínez1+ Shots97%––Lucas Boyé1+ Shots97%––Andrés Martín1+ Shots92%––Toni Martínez2+ Shots87%––Lucas Boyé2+ Shots87%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Boyé1+ Shots on Target81%––Andrés Martín1+ Shots on Target62%––Toni Martínez1+ Shots on Target62%––Yassir Zabiri1+ Shots on Target54%––Abde Rebbach1+ Shots on Target53%––Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ángel PérezO0.543%––Mariano DíazO0.517%––Iñigo VicenteO0.517%––Toni MartínezO0.515%––Victor ParadaO0.514%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Boyé70%––Ángel Pérez44%––Yassir Zabiri41%––Toni Martínez41%––Mariano Díaz35%––Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).