Elche vs Athletic Club
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Elche–
Athletic–12:30 PM ETSan Mamés📺 ESPN+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Saturday, September 12, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
12:30 PM ET
Proj1.7–0.9
Athletic ClubHOME57%1.7proj-133fair-196mkt-9.2%Draw26%—proj+289fair+405mktModel lean+5.9%
ElcheAWAY17%0.9proj+479fair+616mkt+3.3%O2.5 48% · mkt 56%BTTS 49%
ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Álex Berenguer1+ Goals29%––Robert Navarro1+ Goals24%––Nico Williams1+ Goals21%––Álvaro Djaló1+ Goals19%––Oihan Sancet1+ Goals17%––Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Álex Berenguer1+ Shots88%––Oihan Sancet1+ Shots88%––Iñaki Williams1+ Shots84%––Nico Williams1+ Shots81%––Álvaro Djaló1+ Shots77%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Álex Berenguer1+ Shots on Target60%––Iñaki Williams1+ Shots on Target56%––Oihan Sancet1+ Shots on Target51%––Álvaro Djaló1+ Shots on Target45%––Fernando Niño1+ Shots on Target44%––Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Iñaki WilliamsO0.521%––YerayO0.514%––Gonzalo VillarO0.514%––Iñigo Ruiz de GalarretaO0.513%––Álex BerenguerO0.512%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Álex Berenguer38%––Iñaki Williams31%––Robert Navarro29%––Nico Williams27%––Álvaro Djaló26%––Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingLevel at 0 apiece1 draw0–0 on goals