Deportivo vs Villarreal
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Deportivo3
Villarreal2Full timeEstadio de la CerámicaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–3
Proj2.5–1.0
VillarrealHOME✗69%2.5proj-222fair-186mkt+3.9%Draw19%—proj+436fair+400mkt-1.4%
DeportivoAWAY12%1.0proj+708fair+582mkt-2.3%O2.5 67% · mkt 60% ✓BTTS 58% · mkt 55% ✓
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang1+ Goals40%28%+290✓ 1
Gerard Moreno1+ Goals39%45%+135✗ 0
Georges Mikautadze1+ Goals37%45%+135✗ 0
Nicolas Pépé1+ Goals31%33%+235✓ 1
Ayoze Pérez1+ Goals26%38%+185✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Georges Mikautadze1+ Shots96%99%-7000✓ 2
Nicolas Pépé1+ Shots94%96%-2500✓ 5
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang1+ Shots92%95%-2000✓ 3
Gerard Moreno1+ Shots91%99%-7000✓ 1
Ayoze Pérez1+ Shots91%98%-4000✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Georges Mikautadze1+ Shots on Target76%85%-550✗ 0
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang1+ Shots on Target75%66%-190✓ 1
Nicolas Pépé1+ Shots on Target73%71%-250✓ 1
Ayoze Pérez1+ Shots on Target65%77%-340✗ 0
Gerard Moreno1+ Shots on Target64%81%-425✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Georges MikautadzeO0.526%33%+200✗ 0
Alberto MoleiroO0.521%29%+240✗ 0Alfonso PedrazaO0.518%––DNP
Lorenzo AmatucciO0.516%8%+1100✗ 0
Ayoze PérezO0.515%32%+210✓ 1Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Georges Mikautadze53%––✗ 0
Gerard Moreno45%––✗ 0
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang44%––✓ 3
Nicolas Pépé40%––✓ 1
Ayoze Pérez37%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingDeportivo lead 1-03–2 on goals