MatchWiz

Deportivo vs Villarreal

The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.

DEPDeportivo3VILVillarreal2Full timeEstadio de la Cerámica

Box score

Final

What the model says

Saturday, September 5, 2026
MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–3
Proj2.51.0
VILVillarrealHOME69%2.5proj-222fair-186mkt+3.9%
Draw19%proj+436fair+400mkt-1.4%
DEPDeportivoAWAY12%1.0proj+708fair+582mkt-2.3%
O2.5 67% · mkt 60% BTTS 58% · mkt 55%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.

Going in

La Liga table
Away
DEPDeportivo5th8 pts2-2-0DDWW
Home
VILVillarreal16th2 pts0-2-2LDDLL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang1+ Goals40%28%+290 1
Gerard Moreno1+ Goals39%45%+135 0
Georges Mikautadze1+ Goals37%45%+135 0
Nicolas Pépé1+ Goals31%33%+235 1
Ayoze Pérez1+ Goals26%38%+185 0
PlayerOursMktPrice
Georges Mikautadze1+ Shots96%99%-7000 2
Nicolas Pépé1+ Shots94%96%-2500 5
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang1+ Shots92%95%-2000 3
Gerard Moreno1+ Shots91%99%-7000 1
Ayoze Pérez1+ Shots91%98%-4000 1

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Georges Mikautadze1+ Shots on Target76%85%-550 0
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang1+ Shots on Target75%66%-190 1
Nicolas Pépé1+ Shots on Target73%71%-250 1
Ayoze Pérez1+ Shots on Target65%77%-340 0
Gerard Moreno1+ Shots on Target64%81%-425 0
PlayerOursMktPrice
Georges MikautadzeO0.526%33%+200 0
Alberto MoleiroO0.521%29%+240 0
Alfonso PedrazaO0.518%DNP
Lorenzo AmatucciO0.516%8%+1100 0
Ayoze PérezO0.515%32%+210 1

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Georges Mikautadze53% 0
Gerard Moreno45% 0
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang44% 3
Nicolas Pépé40% 1
Ayoze Pérez37% 1

Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last meeting
Deportivo lead 1-032 on goals