Barcelona vs Valencia
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Barcelona5
Valencia0Full timeMestalla StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, September 6, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–5
Proj1.0–2.0
ValenciaHOME16%1.0proj+510fair+986mktModel lean+7.2%Draw23%—proj+338fair+537mktModel lean+7.2%
BarcelonaAWAY✓61%2.0proj-155fair-301mkt-14.3%O2.5 58% ✓BTTS 55% · mkt 55% ✗
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raphinha1+ Goals78%––✓ 1Lamine Yamal1+ Goals58%48%+115✓ 2Fermín López1+ Goals46%37%+170✓ 1Robert Lewandowski1+ Goals46%––DNPRaphinha2+ Goals44%––✗ 1Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lamine Yamal1+ Shots100%––✓ 8Raphinha1+ Shots99%––✓ 3Lamine Yamal2+ Shots97%95%-2000✓ 8Anthony Gordon1+ Shots97%––✓ 2Robert Lewandowski1+ Shots95%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raphinha1+ Shots on Target88%––✓ 1Lamine Yamal1+ Shots on Target86%86%-600✓ 4Anthony Gordon1+ Shots on Target76%––✓ 1Robert Lewandowski1+ Shots on Target72%––DNPFermín López1+ Shots on Target67%85%-550✓ 3Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Anthony GordonO0.555%––✓ 1Xavi EspartO0.538%––✗ 0PedriO0.536%––✗ 0RaphinhaO0.535%––✗ 0Lamine YamalO0.526%43%+130✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Raphinha86%––✓ 1Lamine Yamal69%––✓ 2Anthony Gordon69%––✓ 1Robert Lewandowski55%––DNPFermín López55%––✓ 3Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsBarcelona lead 3-018–1 on goals