MatchWiz

La Liga Match BoardSunday, September 6, 2026

Every La Liga match on Sunday, September 6, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML6-10−3.8u
Over 2.57-9−4.1u
BTTS7-9−3.3u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 14 of 16 on Over 2.5.

Sunday, September 6

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
2:00 PM ET
ALAAlavésvsOSAOsasuna

Mendizorrotza · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
ATHAthletic ClubvsATMAtlético Madrid

San Mamés · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
ELCElchevsRSOReal Sociedad

Estadio Martínez Valero · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
ESPEspanyolvsSEVSevilla

RCDE Stadium · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
GETGetafevsCELCelta Vigo

Estadio Coliseum · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
MCFMálagavsLEVLevante

La Rosaleda · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
RAYRayo VallecanovsRACRacing Santander

Estadio de Vallecas · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
VALValenciavsBARBarcelona

Mestalla Stadium · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
VILVillarrealvsDEPDeportivo

Estadio de la Cerámica · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).