Racing Santander vs Rayo Vallecano
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Racing2
Rayo3Full timeEstadio Municipal de ButarqueBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
Proj1.9–1.2
Rayo VallecanoHOME✓54%1.9proj-119fair+135mktModel lean+11.6%Draw24%—proj+316fair+255mkt-4.1%
Racing SantanderAWAY22%1.2proj+361fair+240mkt-7.7%O2.5 60% · mkt 51% ✓BTTS 60% · mkt 58% ✓
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sergio Camello1+ Goals44%34%+210✓ 2Andrés Martín1+ Goals30%––DNPYassir Zabiri1+ Goals20%29%+280✗ 0Iñigo Vicente1+ Goals20%17%+490✗ 0Jorge de Frutos1+ Goals19%37%+200✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Andrés Martín1+ Shots94%––DNPSergio Camello1+ Shots91%97%-3000✓ 3Sergio Canales1+ Shots83%93%-1250✓ 3Iñigo Vicente1+ Shots83%77%-340✗ 0Álvaro García1+ Shots77%92%-1100✓ 2Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sergio Camello1+ Shots on Target68%70%-230✓ 3Andrés Martín1+ Shots on Target66%––DNPIñigo Vicente1+ Shots on Target49%48%+110✗ 0Sergio Canales1+ Shots on Target45%62%-165✓ 2Jorge de Frutos1+ Shots on Target44%––✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Iñigo VicenteO0.521%27%+270✗ 0Álvaro GarcíaO0.520%39%+155✗ 0Unai LópezO0.519%23%+340✓ 2Jorge de FrutosO0.514%23%+330✗ 0Pep ChavarríaO0.512%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sergio Camello49%––✓ 3Iñigo Vicente36%––✗ 0Andrés Martín36%––DNPÁlvaro García35%––✗ 0Jorge de Frutos31%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingRayo Vallecano lead 1-03–2 on goals