Real Sociedad vs Elche
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Real Sociedad3
Elche2Full timeEstadio Martínez ValeroBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Monday, September 7, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–3
Proj1.4–1.0
ElcheHOME44%1.4proj+129fair+264mktModel lean+16.3%Draw30%—proj+235fair+271mkt+2.9%
Real SociedadAWAY26%1.0proj+279fair+120mkt-19.0%O2.5 42% · mkt 56%BTTS 49% · mkt 60%
ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Orri Óskarsson1+ Goals21%41%+1550Umar Sadiq1+ Goals19%––
Mikel Oyarzabal1+ Goals19%39%+1600Ander Barrenetxea1+ Goals19%21%+3700Fernando Niño1+ Goals19%31%+2301Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mikel Oyarzabal1+ Shots90%96%-25000Rafa Mir1+ Shots86%––
Orri Óskarsson1+ Shots83%97%-30000Ali Houary1+ Shots77%86%-6000Grady Diangana1+ Shots74%83%-475Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mikel Oyarzabal1+ Shots on Target64%74%-2900Orri Óskarsson1+ Shots on Target55%77%-3300Rafa Mir1+ Shots on Target54%––
Fernando Niño1+ Shots on Target47%––3Umar Sadiq1+ Shots on Target46%––
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mikel OyarzabalO0.524%18%+4500Gonzalo VillarO0.515%12%+7500Álvaro RodríguezO0.512%––
Germán ValeraO0.59%24%+3100Jon GorrotxategiO0.58%29%+2500Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Mikel Oyarzabal39%––0Orri Óskarsson26%––0Germán Valera24%––0Ander Barrenetxea24%––0Umar Sadiq24%––
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsReal Sociedad lead 1-01 draw4–3 on goals