MatchWiz

Elche vs Racing Santander

The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.

ELCElche2RACRacing3Full timeEl Sardineros

Box score

Final

What the model says

Friday, August 28, 2026
MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
Proj1.51.0
RACRacing SantanderHOME48%1.5proj+111fair+114mkt+0.8%
Draw28%proj+258fair+276mkt+1.3%
ELCElcheAWAY25%1.0proj+307fair+276mkt-2.1%
O2.5 48% · mkt 56% BTTS 52% · mkt 61%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.

Going in

La Liga table
Away
ELCElche19th1 pts0-1-2WDLLL
Home
RACRacing Santander12th4 pts1-1-2DLWL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Germán Valera1+ Goals18%15%+625 0
Grady Diangana1+ Goals16%18%+475DNP
Rafa Mir1+ Goals16%DNP
Ali Houary1+ Goals15%19%+440 0
Marc Aguado1+ Goals14%8%+2000 0
PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafa Mir1+ Shots88%DNP
Ali Houary1+ Shots80%88%-700 1
Álvaro Rodríguez1+ Shots79%DNP
Grady Diangana1+ Shots76%85%-550DNP
Germán Valera1+ Shots74%83%-500 0

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafa Mir1+ Shots on Target58%DNP
Ali Houary1+ Shots on Target44%51%-105 1
Álvaro Rodríguez1+ Shots on Target42%DNP
Germán Valera1+ Shots on Target42%45%+120 0
Grady Diangana1+ Shots on Target41%48%+110DNP
PlayerOursMktPrice
Álvaro RodríguezO0.514%DNP
Germán ValeraO0.510%24%+310 0
Martim NetoO0.59%20%+390DNP
Grady DianganaO0.57%24%+320DNP
Álvaro NúñezO0.57%DNP

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Germán Valera26% 0
Álvaro Rodríguez26%DNP
Grady Diangana22%DNP
Rafa Mir21%DNP
Ali Houary20% 0

Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last meeting
Racing Santander lead 1-032 on goals