Valencia vs Deportivo
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Valencia1
Deportivo3Full timeRiazorBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 30, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–1
Proj1.2–0.9
DeportivoHOME✓42%1.2proj+139fair+168mktModel lean+4.6%Draw33%—proj+206fair+217mkt+1.1%
ValenciaAWAY25%0.9proj+293fair+220mkt-5.8%O2.5 33% · mkt 38% ✗BTTS 41% · mkt 48% ✗
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hugo Duro1+ Goals19%28%+270✗ 0Diego López1+ Goals14%––DNPArnaut Danjuma1+ Goals11%––✗ 0Yarek Gasiorowski1+ Goals8%––DNP
Enzo Barrenechea1+ Goals8%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Arnaut Danjuma1+ Shots75%––✓ 2Hugo Duro1+ Shots75%94%-1500✗ 0Diego López1+ Shots72%––DNPEnzo Barrenechea1+ Shots63%––DNP
Yarek Gasiorowski1+ Shots61%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hugo Duro1+ Shots on Target43%64%-180✗ 0Arnaut Danjuma1+ Shots on Target40%––✓ 1Diego López1+ Shots on Target38%––DNPEnzo Barrenechea1+ Shots on Target28%––DNP
Yarek Gasiorowski1+ Shots on Target27%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
André AlmeidaO0.510%17%+500DNP
Yarek GasiorowskiO0.56%––DNP
Enzo BarrenecheaO0.56%––DNP
Cristhian MosqueraO0.56%––DNP
Giorgi MamardashviliO0.56%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hugo Duro24%––✗ 0Diego López19%––DNPAndré Almeida16%––DNP
Arnaut Danjuma15%––✗ 0Yarek Gasiorowski14%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingDeportivo lead 1-03–1 on goals