Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Athletic2
Celta Vigo0Full timeBalaidosBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 30, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–2
Proj1.5–0.8
Celta VigoHOME✗52%1.5proj-109fair+193mktModel lean+17.9%Draw29%—proj+248fair+230mkt-1.6%
Athletic ClubAWAY19%0.8proj+420fair+182mkt-16.2%O2.5 41% · mkt 43% ✓BTTS 44% · mkt 51% ✓
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Borja Iglesias1+ Goals23%––DNPIago Aspas1+ Goals21%24%+333✗ 0Bryan Zaragoza1+ Goals18%––DNP
Álex Berenguer1+ Goals16%17%+500✓ 1Álvaro Djaló1+ Goals12%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bryan Zaragoza1+ Shots86%––DNP
Borja Iglesias1+ Shots82%––DNPÁlex Berenguer1+ Shots81%93%-1250✓ 2Oihan Sancet1+ Shots76%92%-1100✓ 3Gorka Guruzeta1+ Shots74%97%-3000✗ 0Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bryan Zaragoza1+ Shots on Target53%––DNP
Borja Iglesias1+ Shots on Target53%––DNPÁlex Berenguer1+ Shots on Target51%59%-145✓ 1Iago Aspas1+ Shots on Target44%71%-240✗ 0Iñaki Williams1+ Shots on Target41%68%-210✓ 2Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Miguel RománO0.518%12%+750✗ 0Bryan ZaragozaO0.512%––DNP
Borja IglesiasO0.511%––DNPYerayO0.511%4%+2700DNPÁlex BerenguerO0.59%20%+400✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Borja Iglesias31%––DNPIago Aspas28%––✗ 0Bryan Zaragoza27%––DNP
Miguel Román25%––✗ 0Álex Berenguer24%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsAthletic Club lead 2-14–3 on goals