Celta Vigo vs Valencia
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Celta Vigo0
Valencia0Full timeMestalla StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–0
Proj1.4–1.1
ValenciaHOME✗43%1.4proj+135fair+161mktModel lean+4.3%Draw29%—proj+241fair+224mkt-1.6%
Celta VigoAWAY28%1.1proj+256fair+224mkt-2.8%O2.5 45% · mkt 42% ✓BTTS 51% · mkt 49% ✗
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Borja Iglesias1+ Goals24%29%+260DNPIago Aspas1+ Goals23%23%+350✗ 0Hugo Duro1+ Goals23%32%+220✗ 0Arnaut Danjuma1+ Goals17%––✗ 0Diego López1+ Goals15%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Borja Iglesias1+ Shots83%92%-1100DNPIago Aspas1+ Shots83%91%-1000✗ 0Hugo Duro1+ Shots80%97%-3000✗ 0Arnaut Danjuma1+ Shots80%––✓ 3Bryan Zaragoza1+ Shots77%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Iago Aspas1+ Shots on Target54%64%-175✗ 0Borja Iglesias1+ Shots on Target54%69%-220DNPArnaut Danjuma1+ Shots on Target47%––✗ 0Hugo Duro1+ Shots on Target47%71%-250✗ 0Diego López1+ Shots on Target39%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Iago AspasO0.514%18%+470✗ 0Borja IglesiasO0.511%18%+460DNPAndré AlmeidaO0.511%––DNPBryan ZaragozaO0.511%––DNP
Ilaix MoribaO0.510%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Iago Aspas34%––✗ 0Borja Iglesias33%––DNPHugo Duro28%––✗ 0Arnaut Danjuma22%––✗ 0Diego López21%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsValencia lead 1-01 draw2–1 on goals