Real Madrid vs Espanyol
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Real Madrid2
Espanyol1Full timeRCDE StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
Proj1.4–1.1
EspanyolHOME✗42%1.4proj+140fair+643mktModel lean+28.2%Draw29%—proj+240fair+386mktModel lean+8.9%
Real MadridAWAY29%1.1proj+247fair-195mkt-37.2%O2.5 45% · mkt 58% ✗BTTS 51% · mkt 52% ✓
ABC · ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Goals46%64%-160✗ 0Roberto Fernández1+ Goals35%24%+350✗ 0Javier Puado1+ Goals23%––DNPTyrhys Dolan1+ Goals23%13%+650✗ 0Vinícius Júnior1+ Goals21%42%+175✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Shots96%––✓ 10Vinícius Júnior1+ Shots91%99%-7000✓ 1Javier Puado1+ Shots88%––DNPTyrhys Dolan1+ Shots87%80%-400✗ 0Roberto Fernández1+ Shots86%91%-1000✓ 2Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Shots on Target79%91%-1000✓ 3Vinícius Júnior1+ Shots on Target63%79%-380✗ 0Javier Puado1+ Shots on Target59%––DNPRoberto Fernández1+ Shots on Target57%62%-160✗ 0Jude Bellingham1+ Shots on Target54%62%-165✓ 2Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Jude BellinghamO0.517%––✗ 0Vinícius JúniorO0.517%––✗ 0Kylian MbappéO0.516%––✗ 0Federico ValverdeO0.514%––✗ 0Arda GülerO0.514%––✓ 1Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé54%––✗ 0Roberto Fernández41%––✗ 0Vinícius Júnior35%––✗ 0Jude Bellingham33%––✓ 1Tyrhys Dolan32%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsReal Madrid lead 2-14–2 on goals