Barcelona vs Elche
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Barcelona5
Elche0Full timeEstadio Martínez ValeroBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 23, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–5
Proj1.5–1.7
ElcheHOME34%1.5proj+197fair+790mktModel lean+22.4%Draw26%—proj+289fair+480mktModel lean+8.5%
BarcelonaAWAY✓41%1.7proj+146fair-259mkt-31.5%O2.5 61% ✓BTTS 64% · mkt 52% ✗
ABC · ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lamine Yamal1+ Goals43%48%+110✗ 0Raphinha1+ Goals42%––✓ 2Robert Lewandowski1+ Goals39%––DNPFerran Torres1+ Goals34%––DNP
Dani Olmo1+ Goals28%31%+220✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lamine Yamal1+ Shots98%––✓ 2Raphinha1+ Shots95%––✓ 3Robert Lewandowski1+ Shots93%––DNPLamine Yamal2+ Shots91%96%-2500✓ 2Rafa Mir1+ Shots88%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lamine Yamal1+ Shots on Target77%85%-550✗ 0Robert Lewandowski1+ Shots on Target66%––DNPRaphinha1+ Shots on Target64%––✓ 3Rafa Mir1+ Shots on Target57%––DNP
Ferran Torres1+ Shots on Target55%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lamine YamalO0.528%44%+125✗ 0PedriO0.524%––✗ 0RaphinhaO0.520%––✓ 1Dani OlmoO0.519%29%+240✗ 0Fermín LópezO0.517%32%+210✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lamine Yamal58%––✗ 0Raphinha53%––✓ 3Robert Lewandowski46%––DNPFerran Torres42%––DNP
Dani Olmo42%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsBarcelona lead 2-08–1 on goals