Sevilla vs Athletic Club
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Sevilla3
Athletic1Full timeSan MamésBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–3
Proj1.5–1.0
Athletic ClubHOME✗48%1.5proj+109fair-119mkt-6.6%Draw29%—proj+248fair+271mkt+1.8%
SevillaAWAY23%1.0proj+326fair+426mktModel lean+4.4%O2.5 44% · mkt 43% ✗BTTS 49% · mkt 47% ✗
ESPN2 · ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Peque1+ Goals22%––✗ 0Álex Berenguer1+ Goals21%22%+350✗ 0Nico Williams1+ Goals19%28%+270✗ 0Gorka Guruzeta1+ Goals18%38%+170✗ 0Iñaki Williams1+ Goals16%27%+330✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Gorka Guruzeta1+ Shots87%98%-5000✓ 2Nico Williams1+ Shots84%95%-2000✓ 1Álex Berenguer1+ Shots84%94%-1500✓ 2Iñaki Williams1+ Shots83%94%-1500✓ 2Isaac Romero1+ Shots81%95%-2000✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Álex Berenguer1+ Shots on Target55%64%-175✓ 1Nico Williams1+ Shots on Target53%66%-195✗ 0Peque1+ Shots on Target51%––✗ 0Gorka Guruzeta1+ Shots on Target50%71%-250✗ 0Iñaki Williams1+ Shots on Target50%62%-165✓ 2Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Álex BerenguerO0.513%25%+300✗ 0Rubén VargasO0.511%14%+600DNPNico WilliamsO0.511%25%+300✗ 0Lucien AgouméO0.59%12%+750✗ 0Akor AdamsO0.58%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Álex Berenguer31%––✗ 0Nico Williams28%––✗ 0Peque26%––✗ 0Gorka Guruzeta24%––✗ 0Rubén Vargas23%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsAthletic Club lead 2-15–5 on goals