Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Rayo1
Sevilla2Full timeRamón Sánchez Pizjuán StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 15, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
Proj1.4–0.9
SevillaHOME✓47%1.4proj+114fair+160mktModel lean+8.1%Draw29%—proj+239fair+214mkt-2.4%
Rayo VallecanoAWAY24%0.9proj+319fair+235mkt-6.0%O2.5 42% · mkt 40% ✗BTTS 48% · mkt 49% ✗
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
José Ángel Carmona1+ Goals18%8%+1800DNPJorge de Frutos1+ Goals18%29%+270DNPIsaac Romero1+ Goals17%30%+260DNPAlexandre Alemão1+ Goals15%24%+330DNPFran Pérez1+ Goals15%15%+650DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
José Ángel Carmona1+ Shots81%60%-150DNPIsaac Romero1+ Shots80%99%-7000DNPAkor Adams1+ Shots80%––DNP
Jorge de Frutos1+ Shots78%91%-1000DNPPeque1+ Shots75%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Akor Adams1+ Shots on Target47%––DNP
José Ángel Carmona1+ Shots on Target46%24%+320DNPIsaac Romero1+ Shots on Target46%76%-310DNPJorge de Frutos1+ Shots on Target45%68%-210DNPFran Pérez1+ Shots on Target44%51%-105DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rubén VargasO0.512%20%+390DNPJosé Ángel CarmonaO0.511%20%+390DNPIsi PalazónO0.510%18%+460DNPUnai LópezO0.510%15%+550DNPPep ChavarríaO0.59%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
José Ángel Carmona27%––DNPJorge de Frutos23%––DNPIsaac Romero23%––DNPRubén Vargas22%––DNPAkor Adams21%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsSevilla lead 2-01 draw4–2 on goals