Elche vs Deportivo
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Elche1
Deportivo1Full timeRiazorBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Monday, August 17, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 1–1
Proj1.6–1.0
DeportivoHOME✗48%1.6proj+107fair+141mktModel lean+6.9%Draw28%—proj+261fair+217mkt-3.8%
ElcheAWAY24%1.0proj+319fair+279mkt-2.5%O2.5 48% · mkt 41% ✓BTTS 52% · mkt 49% ✓
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
La Liga tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Germán Valera1+ Goals19%13%+700✗ 0Rafa Mir1+ Goals18%––DNP
Álvaro Rodríguez1+ Goals16%––DNP
Grady Diangana1+ Goals16%17%+550DNPAndré Silva1+ Goals14%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafa Mir1+ Shots88%––DNP
Álvaro Rodríguez1+ Shots81%––DNP
Germán Valera1+ Shots78%88%-700✗ 0Grady Diangana1+ Shots77%82%-450DNPAndré Silva1+ Shots73%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafa Mir1+ Shots on Target60%––DNP
Germán Valera1+ Shots on Target45%52%-110✗ 0Álvaro Rodríguez1+ Shots on Target44%––DNP
Grady Diangana1+ Shots on Target41%––DNPAndré Silva1+ Shots on Target37%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Álvaro RodríguezO0.515%––DNP
Germán ValeraO0.511%18%+450✗ 0Martim NetoO0.510%17%+490✗ 0Marc AguadoO0.58%14%+600✗ 0Aleix FebasO0.58%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Álvaro Rodríguez28%––DNP
Germán Valera28%––✗ 0Grady Diangana22%––DNPRafa Mir22%––DNP
André Silva20%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingLevel at 0 apiece1 draw1–1 on goals