MatchWiz

TSG Hoffenheim vs SC Paderborn 07

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

TSGHoffenheimSCPPaderborn1:30 PM ETHome Deluxe Arena

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Sunday, September 20, 2026
MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
1:30 PM ET
Proj1.21.4
SCPSC Paderborn 07HOME30%1.2proj+229fair+360mktModel lean+8.6%
Draw29%proj+248fair+356mktModel lean+6.9%
TSGTSG HoffenheimAWAY41%1.4proj+145fair-129mkt-15.5%
O2.5 48%BTTS 54%

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

Bundesliga table
Away
TSGTSG Hoffenheim13th3 pts1-0-2WLLLW
Home
SCPSC Paderborn 0715th1 pts0-1-2DLL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Tim Lemperle1+ Goals28%
Adam Hlozek1+ Goals26%
Adam Daghim1+ Goals22%
Fisnik Asllani1+ Goals22%
Bazoumana Touré1+ Goals15%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Tim Lemperle1+ Shots91%
Adam Daghim1+ Shots88%
Adam Hlozek1+ Shots86%
Fisnik Asllani1+ Shots86%
Stefano Marino1+ Shots77%

Shots on Target

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Tim Lemperle1+ Shots on Target61%
Adam Daghim1+ Shots on Target59%
Fisnik Asllani1+ Shots on Target55%
Adam Hlozek1+ Shots on Target52%
Ozan Kabak1+ Shots on Target37%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Adam DaghimO0.526%
Vladimír CoufalO0.523%
Bambasé ContéO0.520%
Bazoumana TouréO0.519%
Fisnik AsllaniO0.515%

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Adam Daghim42%
Tim Lemperle34%
Fisnik Asllani34%
Bazoumana Touré31%
Adam Hlozek31%

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).