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Bundesliga Match Board — Sunday, September 20, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Sunday, September 20, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Sunday, September 20, 2026 · how the model graded
2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 39 of 45 on ML, 18 of 45 on Over 2.5, 39 of 45 on BTTS.

Sunday, September 20

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 2–0
Proj2.1–1.5
Match page →
B04Bayer LeverkusenHOME✓52%2.1proj-107fair-104mkt+0.6%
Draw22%—proj+346fair+353mkt+0.4%
RBLRB LeipzigAWAY26%1.5proj+286fair+270mkt-1.1%
O2.5 70% ✗BTTS 69% · mkt 73% ✗1H O1.5 49% · mkt 51% ✓
Fandango
FT · 0–0
Proj1.8–1.7
Match page →
S04Schalke 04HOME✗41%1.8proj+143fair+102mkt-8.3%
Draw24%—proj+317fair+303mkt-0.8%
ELVSV ElversbergAWAY35%1.7proj+187fair+281mktModel lean+8.6%
O2.5 68% ✗BTTS 69% · mkt 63% ✗1H O1.5 47% · mkt 42% ✓
Fandango
FT · 3–1
Proj1.3–1.4
Match page →
SCPSC Paderborn 07HOME32%1.3proj+209fair+323mktModel lean+8.8%
Draw28%—proj+253fair+357mktModel lean+6.4%
TSGTSG HoffenheimAWAY✗39%1.4proj+154fair-120mkt-15.2%
O2.5 50% ✓BTTS 56% · mkt 69% ✓1H O1.5 34% · mkt 48% ✗
Fandango

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).