MatchWiz

RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

RBLRB LeipzigB04Leverkusen9:30 AM ETBayArena

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Sunday, September 20, 2026
MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
9:30 AM ET
Proj2.11.3
B04Bayer LeverkusenHOME54%2.1proj-117fair+105mktModel lean+5.3%
Draw23%proj+339fair+325mkt-0.8%
RBLRB LeipzigAWAY23%1.3proj+330fair+260mkt-4.5%
O2.5 67%BTTS 66%

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

Bundesliga table
Away
RBLRB Leipzig12th3 pts1-0-1WLWLW
Home
B04Bayer Leverkusen6th4 pts1-1-1LDLWD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Patrik Schick1+ Goals59%
Nathan Tella1+ Goals26%
Martin Terrier1+ Goals26%
Afonso Moreira1+ Goals25%
Yan Diomande1+ Goals25%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Patrik Schick1+ Shots98%
Ibrahim Maza1+ Shots94%
Afonso Moreira1+ Shots94%
Nathan Tella1+ Shots92%
Patrik Schick2+ Shots92%

Shots on Target

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Patrik Schick1+ Shots on Target82%
Afonso Moreira1+ Shots on Target68%
Nathan Tella1+ Shots on Target63%
Christoph Baumgartner1+ Shots on Target57%
Brajan Gruda1+ Shots on Target56%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Miguel GutiérrezO0.530%
Nathan TellaO0.523%
Alejandro GrimaldoO0.521%
Ibrahim MazaO0.521%
Aleix GarcíaO0.520%

Score or Assist

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Patrik Schick66%
Nathan Tella43%
Yan Diomande39%
Alejandro Grimaldo38%
Christoph Baumgartner37%

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
Bayer Leverkusen lead 2-01 draw94 on goals