MatchWiz

Hamburg SV vs RB Leipzig

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

HSVHamburgRBLRB Leipzig9:30 AM ETRed Bull Arena📺 Fandango

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Sunday, September 13, 2026
MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
9:30 AM ET
Proj2.21.1
RBLRB LeipzigHOME63%2.2proj-171fair-233mkt-6.8%
Draw21%proj+378fair+471mkt+3.4%
HSVHamburg SVAWAY16%1.1proj+528fair+686mkt+3.2%
O2.5 64%BTTS 60%
Fandango

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

Bundesliga table
Away
HSVHamburg SV18th0 pts0-0-2WWDLL
Home
RBLRB Leipzig8th3 pts1-0-1LWLWL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Yan Diomande1+ Goals32%
Christoph Baumgartner1+ Goals31%
Rômulo1+ Goals29%
Brajan Gruda1+ Goals26%
Ridle Baku1+ Goals23%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Christoph Baumgartner1+ Shots92%
Rômulo1+ Shots91%
Brajan Gruda1+ Shots89%
Yan Diomande1+ Shots85%
Rocco Reitz1+ Shots83%

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Christoph Baumgartner1+ Shots on Target65%
Brajan Gruda1+ Shots on Target63%
Rômulo1+ Shots on Target62%
Yan Diomande1+ Shots on Target56%
Assan Ouédraogo1+ Shots on Target48%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Yan DiomandeO0.526%
Christoph BaumgartnerO0.522%
David RaumO0.521%
Brajan GrudaO0.517%
Rocco ReitzO0.517%

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Yan Diomande49%
Christoph Baumgartner46%
Brajan Gruda39%
Rômulo38%
Xavi Simons31%

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
RB Leipzig lead 2-042 on goals