Bundesliga Match Board — Sunday, September 13, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Sunday, September 13, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Sunday, September 13, 2026 · how the model graded

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 40 of 45 on ML, 19 of 45 on Over 2.5, 40 of 45 on BTTS.

Sunday, September 13

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

FT · 5–0

Proj2.2–1.0

Match page →

RB LeipzigHOME✓63%2.2proj-173fair-239mkt-7.1%

Draw21%—proj+376fair+508mktModel lean+4.6%

Hamburg SVAWAY16%1.0proj+542fair+656mkt+2.4%

O2.5 63% ✓BTTS 59% · mkt 63% ✗1H O1.5 43% ✗

Fandango

FT · 1–2

Proj2.0–3.0

Match page →

SV ElversbergHOME24%2.0proj+316fair+1291mktModel lean+16.8%

Draw17%—proj+474fair+851mktModel lean+6.9%

Bayern MunichAWAY✓59%3.0proj-141fair-425mkt-22.4%

O2.5 88% ✓BTTS 83% · mkt 63% ✓1H O1.5 66% ✗

USA Net

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).