RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
RB Leipzig1
Bremen3Full timeWeserstadionBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–1
Proj1.7–1.6
Werder BremenHOME✓39%1.7proj+157fair+336mktModel lean+16.0%Draw25%—proj+295fair+336mkt+2.4%
RB LeipzigAWAY36%1.6proj+180fair-118mkt-18.4%O2.5 63% ✓BTTS 65% · mkt 64% ✓
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rômulo1+ Goals38%––DNPYan Diomande1+ Goals29%––DNP
Antonio Nusa1+ Goals25%32%+240✗ 0Christoph Baumgartner1+ Goals23%––DNPMarco Grüll1+ Goals21%22%+350✓ 1Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rômulo1+ Shots94%––DNPAntonio Nusa1+ Shots90%––✓ 2Conrad Harder1+ Shots88%––DNP
Marco Grüll1+ Shots86%––✓ 5Christoph Baumgartner1+ Shots86%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rômulo1+ Shots on Target67%––DNPAntonio Nusa1+ Shots on Target62%––✓ 1Christoph Baumgartner1+ Shots on Target55%––DNPConrad Harder1+ Shots on Target53%––DNP
Yan Diomande1+ Shots on Target52%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Christoph BaumgartnerO0.526%––DNPMarco GrüllO0.518%––✓ 1RômuloO0.518%––DNPAssan OuédraogoO0.517%––DNPTidiam GomisO0.517%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rômulo49%––DNPChristoph Baumgartner43%––DNPYan Diomande38%––DNP
Marco Grüll36%––✓ 2Antonio Nusa34%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 4 meetingsRB Leipzig lead 2-11 draw7–5 on goals