Mainz vs Hamburg SV
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Mainz5
Hamburg0Full timeVolksparkstadionBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, September 6, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 0–5
Proj1.7–0.9
Hamburg SVHOME✗55%1.7proj-123fair+193mktModel lean+21.1%Draw26%—proj+288fair+273mkt-1.1%
MainzAWAY19%0.9proj+424fair+154mkt-20.3%O2.5 50% · mkt 55% ✓BTTS 52% · mkt 61% ✗
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Jean-Luc Dompé1+ Goals29%––DNPRansford-Yeboah Königsdörffer1+ Goals18%29%+250✓ 1Albert Sambi Lokonga1+ Goals17%16%+700DNPWilliam Bøving1+ Goals17%––DNPBenedict Hollerbach1+ Goals16%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Jean-Luc Dompé1+ Shots91%––DNPRansford-Yeboah Königsdörffer1+ Shots84%97%-3000✓ 2Benedict Hollerbach1+ Shots81%––DNPWilliam Bøving1+ Shots77%––DNPRayan Philippe1+ Shots74%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Jean-Luc Dompé1+ Shots on Target61%––DNPRansford-Yeboah Königsdörffer1+ Shots on Target45%65%-185✓ 1Benedict Hollerbach1+ Shots on Target44%––DNPWilliam Bøving1+ Shots on Target43%––DNPRayan Philippe1+ Shots on Target41%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Miro MuheimO0.513%––DNPFabio VieiraO0.512%18%+460✗ 0Jean-Luc DompéO0.511%––DNPNicolás CapaldoO0.59%20%+400✗ 0Nicolai RembergO0.59%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Jean-Luc Dompé37%––DNPRansford-Yeboah Königsdörffer24%––✓ 1William Bøving24%––DNPAlbert Sambi Lokonga23%––DNPBenedict Hollerbach22%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece5–4 on goals