Bundesliga Match Board — Sunday, September 6, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Sunday, September 6, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Sunday, September 6, 2026 · how the model graded

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 40 of 45 on ML, 19 of 45 on Over 2.5, 40 of 45 on BTTS.

Sunday, September 6

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

FT · 0–5

Proj1.7–0.9

Match page →

Hamburg SVHOME✗55%1.7proj-123fair+193mktModel lean+21.1%

Draw26%—proj+288fair+273mkt-1.1%

MainzAWAY19%0.9proj+424fair+154mkt-20.3%

O2.5 50% · mkt 55% ✓BTTS 52% · mkt 61% ✗1H O1.5 34% ✗

Fandango

FT · 1–4

Proj2.4–1.4

Match page →

Eintracht FrankfurtHOME✗59%2.4proj-144fair-105mktModel lean+7.6%

Draw20%—proj+393fair+328mkt-3.1%

FC AugsburgAWAY21%1.4proj+382fair+290mkt-4.9%

O2.5 74% ✓BTTS 70% · mkt 70% ✓1H O1.5 52% ✗

Fandango

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).