1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Union Berlin0
Leverkusen4Full timeBayArenaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 4–0
Proj2.4–1.2
Bayer LeverkusenHOME✓63%2.4proj-173fair-189mkt-2.1%Draw20%—proj+398fair+424mkt+1.0%
1. FC Union BerlinAWAY17%1.2proj+503fair+535mkt+0.9%O2.5 69% ✓BTTS 64% · mkt 60% ✗
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Patrik Schick1+ Goals44%57%-120✓ 1Ernest Poku1+ Goals37%––DNPOliver Burke1+ Goals27%23%+400DNPChristian Kofane1+ Goals24%51%+100✗ 0Alejandro Grimaldo1+ Goals23%––DNP
Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Patrik Schick1+ Shots96%––✓ 4Ernest Poku1+ Shots94%––DNPIbrahim Maza1+ Shots88%––✓ 5Oliver Burke1+ Shots85%––DNPMalik Tillman1+ Shots82%––✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ernest Poku1+ Shots on Target66%––DNPPatrik Schick1+ Shots on Target65%––✓ 2Oliver Burke1+ Shots on Target53%––DNPFlorian Wirtz1+ Shots on Target46%––DNP
Jordan Pefok1+ Shots on Target46%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Ibrahim MazaO0.529%––✗ 0Aleix GarcíaO0.517%––✗ 0ArthurO0.517%––DNP
Ernest PokuO0.516%––DNPAlejandro GrimaldoO0.516%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Patrik Schick50%––✓ 2Ernest Poku47%––DNPIbrahim Maza38%––✓ 1Alejandro Grimaldo35%––DNP
Oliver Burke32%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsBayer Leverkusen lead 2-01 draw6–0 on goals