Borussia Dortmund vs TSG Hoffenheim
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Dortmund3
Hoffenheim2Full timePreZero ArenaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–3
Proj1.8–1.4
TSG HoffenheimHOME✗46%1.8proj+116fair+205mktModel lean+13.5%Draw25%—proj+296fair+300mkt+0.3%
Borussia DortmundAWAY28%1.4proj+252fair+136mkt-14.0%O2.5 61% ✓BTTS 63% · mkt 68% ✓
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou Guirassy1+ Goals35%47%+115✓ 1Tim Lemperle1+ Goals30%31%+245✓ 1Fisnik Asllani1+ Goals25%34%+205DNPGrischa Prömel1+ Goals23%––DNP
Julian Brandt1+ Goals21%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou Guirassy1+ Shots91%––✓ 5Tim Lemperle1+ Shots90%––✓ 4Fisnik Asllani1+ Shots84%––DNPGrischa Prömel1+ Shots83%––DNP
Pavel Kaderábek1+ Shots77%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou Guirassy1+ Shots on Target63%––✓ 2Tim Lemperle1+ Shots on Target58%––✓ 2Fisnik Asllani1+ Shots on Target48%––DNPGrischa Prömel1+ Shots on Target46%––DNP
Julian Brandt1+ Shots on Target43%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Vladimír CoufalO0.519%––✓ 1Wouter BurgerO0.515%––✗ 0Julian BrandtO0.514%––DNPFelix NmechaO0.511%––✗ 0Niklas SüleO0.511%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou Guirassy41%––✓ 2Tim Lemperle37%––✓ 1Fisnik Asllani32%––DNPJulian Brandt32%––DNPGrischa Prömel30%––DNP
Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsBorussia Dortmund lead 3-08–4 on goals