Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Bremen1
Freiburg4Full timeEuropa-Park StadionBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 30, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 4–1
Proj2.1–1.2
SC FreiburgHOME✓59%2.1proj-143fair+103mktModel lean+9.4%Draw22%—proj+352fair+285mkt-3.9%
Werder BremenAWAY19%1.2proj+425fair+310mkt-5.3%O2.5 64% · mkt 54% ✓BTTS 62% · mkt 57% ✓
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Höler1+ Goals33%30%+230✗ 0Derry Scherhant1+ Goals29%28%+285✗ 0Junior Adamu1+ Goals26%––DNP
Marco Grüll1+ Goals20%19%+430✗ 0Keke Topp1+ Goals18%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Höler1+ Shots92%––✗ 0Derry Scherhant1+ Shots89%––✓ 2Junior Adamu1+ Shots86%––DNP
Marco Grüll1+ Shots82%––✓ 1Johan Manzambi1+ Shots78%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Höler1+ Shots on Target63%––✗ 0Derry Scherhant1+ Shots on Target55%––✓ 1Junior Adamu1+ Shots on Target52%––DNP
Marco Grüll1+ Shots on Target47%––✗ 0Keke Topp1+ Shots on Target41%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas HölerO0.515%––✗ 0Milos VeljkovicO0.515%––DNPNiklas BesteO0.514%––✓ 1Yuito SuzukiO0.513%––✗ 0Matthias GinterO0.512%––✓ 1Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lucas Höler43%––✗ 0Derry Scherhant36%––✗ 0Junior Adamu35%––DNP
Johan Manzambi27%––DNP
Marco Grüll27%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsSC Freiburg lead 3-012–1 on goals