Bundesliga Match Board — Sunday, August 30, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Sunday, August 30, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Sunday, August 30

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

9:30 AM ET

Proj1.9–1.2

SCFSC FreiburgHOME53%1.9proj-112fair+115mktModel lean+6.2%

DRWDraw24%—proj+314fair+280mkt-2.2%

SVWWerder BremenAWAY23%1.2proj+333fair+269mkt-4.0%

O2.5 61% · mkt 54%BTTS 61%

11:30 AM ET

Proj1.4–1.4

FCAFC AugsburgHOME37%1.4proj+169fair+129mkt-6.4%

DRWDraw28%—proj+262fair+291mkt+2.1%

S04Schalke 04AWAY35%1.4proj+185fair+227mktModel lean+4.5%

O2.5 53% · mkt 59%BTTS 58%

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).