Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Gladbach0
RB Leipzig3Full timeRed Bull ArenaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 3–0
Proj2.1–1.1
RB LeipzigHOME✓59%2.1proj-144fair-152mkt-1.3%Draw22%—proj+349fair+373mkt+1.1%
Borussia MönchengladbachAWAY19%1.1proj+436fair+429mkt-0.3%O2.5 63% ✓BTTS 61% · mkt 61% ✗
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rômulo1+ Goals35%43%+140DNPConrad Harder1+ Goals30%39%+190✗ 0Yan Diomande1+ Goals30%––DNP
Tim Kleindienst1+ Goals26%31%+265✗ 0Christoph Baumgartner1+ Goals23%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Conrad Harder1+ Shots95%––✓ 2Rômulo1+ Shots93%––DNPTim Kleindienst1+ Shots88%––✓ 1Christoph Baumgartner1+ Shots85%––DNPYan Diomande1+ Shots82%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rômulo1+ Shots on Target65%––DNPConrad Harder1+ Shots on Target65%––✓ 1Tim Kleindienst1+ Shots on Target56%––✗ 0Yan Diomande1+ Shots on Target53%––DNP
Christoph Baumgartner1+ Shots on Target53%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Christoph BaumgartnerO0.526%––DNPConrad HarderO0.519%––✗ 0RômuloO0.518%––DNPXavi SimonsO0.517%––DNP
Yan DiomandeO0.517%––DNP
Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rômulo46%––DNPConrad Harder43%––✗ 0Christoph Baumgartner42%––DNPYan Diomande42%––DNP
Tim Kleindienst34%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece1 draw1–3 on goals