Hamburg SV vs Borussia Dortmund
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Hamburg0
Dortmund2Full timeSignal Iduna ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 2–0
Proj2.1–1.1
Borussia DortmundHOME✓61%2.1proj-159fair-216mkt-7.0%Draw22%—proj+357fair+450mkt+3.7%
Hamburg SVAWAY17%1.1proj+498fair+658mkt+3.5%O2.5 62% ✗BTTS 58% · mkt 55% ✗
USA Net
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou Guirassy1+ Goals32%57%-130✓ 1Julian Brandt1+ Goals24%––DNPJean-Luc Dompé1+ Goals23%––DNPAaron Anselmino1+ Goals19%––DNP
Emre Can1+ Goals17%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou Guirassy1+ Shots92%––✓ 2Jean-Luc Dompé1+ Shots86%––DNPJulian Brandt1+ Shots80%––DNPRansford-Yeboah Königsdörffer1+ Shots77%––DNP
Jobe Bellingham1+ Shots76%86%-600✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou Guirassy1+ Shots on Target62%88%-750✓ 2Jean-Luc Dompé1+ Shots on Target52%––DNPJulian Brandt1+ Shots on Target46%––DNPRayan Philippe1+ Shots on Target40%––✗ 0Emre Can1+ Shots on Target39%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Niklas SüleO0.517%––DNPJulian BrandtO0.516%––DNPYan CoutoO0.515%––DNP
Aaron AnselminoO0.514%––DNP
Felix NmechaO0.514%22%+350✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Serhou Guirassy41%––✓ 1Julian Brandt36%––DNPAaron Anselmino30%––DNP
Jean-Luc Dompé29%––DNPNiklas Süle29%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsBorussia Dortmund lead 1-01 draw3–1 on goals