VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Stuttgart1
Bayern5Full timeAllianz ArenaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Friday, August 28, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
FT · 5–1
Proj2.8–1.2
Bayern MunichHOME✓69%2.8proj-227fair-328mkt-7.2%Draw17%—proj+485fair+646mkt+3.7%
VfB StuttgartAWAY13%1.2proj+642fair+913mkt+3.6%O2.5 76% ✓BTTS 66% · mkt 66% ✓
Fandango
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Bundesliga tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Harry Kane1+ Goals63%70%-210✗ 0Luis Díaz1+ Goals47%51%+100✓ 1Deniz Undav1+ Goals35%32%+230✗ 0Serge Gnabry1+ Goals34%––DNPMichael Olise1+ Goals33%49%+115✓ 1Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Harry Kane1+ Shots98%––✓ 2Luis Díaz1+ Shots97%99%-10000✓ 6Michael Olise1+ Shots95%99%-10000✓ 6Deniz Undav1+ Shots94%97%-3000✗ 0Serge Gnabry1+ Shots91%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Harry Kane1+ Shots on Target84%93%-1250✗ 0Luis Díaz1+ Shots on Target75%78%-360✓ 2Michael Olise1+ Shots on Target71%87%-650✓ 2Deniz Undav1+ Shots on Target66%69%-220✗ 0Serge Gnabry1+ Shots on Target60%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Michael OliseO0.539%57%-135✗ 0Luis DíazO0.530%44%+125✗ 0Raphaël GuerreiroO0.526%––DNPJoshua KimmichO0.522%50%+100✓ 2Harry KaneO0.522%32%+210✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Harry Kane71%––✗ 0Luis Díaz62%––✓ 1Michael Olise59%––✓ 1Serge Gnabry48%––DNPDeniz Undav42%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 3 meetingsBayern Munich lead 3-013–2 on goals