Bundesliga Match Board — Friday, August 28, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Friday, August 28, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Friday, August 28

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

2:30 PM ET

Proj2.8–1.2

MUNBayern MunichHOME70%2.8proj-230fair-279mkt-3.9%

DRWDraw17%—proj+489fair+577mkt+2.2%

VFBVfB StuttgartAWAY13%1.2proj+651fair+745mkt+1.5%

O2.5 76%BTTS 66%

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).