MatchWiz
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Paris Saint-Germain vs Manchester City

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

PSGPSG–MNCMan City–3:00 PM ETEtihad Stadium📺 Paramount+

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
MatchupProbProjWizLineMkt
3:00 PM ET
Proj1.5–2.1
MNCManchester CityHOME27%1.5proj+272fair+141mkt
Draw23%—proj+342fair+311mkt
PSGParis Saint-GermainAWAY50%2.1proj-102fair+190mkt
O2.5 70%BTTS 70%1H O1.5 49%
Paramount+

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

Champions League table
Away
PSGParis Saint-Germain1st3 pts1-0-0WWDDW
Home
MNCManchester City8th3 pts1-0-0LWLLW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Ousmane Dembélé1+ Goals56%––
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Goals55%––
Erling Haaland1+ Goals40%––
Désiré Doué1+ Goals39%––
Ferran Torres1+ Goals26%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Shots99%––
Ousmane Dembélé1+ Shots98%––
Désiré Doué1+ Shots96%––
Erling Haaland1+ Shots94%––
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2+ Shots92%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1+ Shots on Target81%––
Ousmane Dembélé1+ Shots on Target76%––
Erling Haaland1+ Shots on Target76%––
Désiré Doué1+ Shots on Target72%––
Jérémy Doku1+ Shots on Target54%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Khvicha KvaratskheliaO0.535%––
Ousmane DembéléO0.534%––
Maghnes AklioucheO0.533%––
Désiré DouéO0.530%––
Achraf HakimiO0.523%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia71%––
Ousmane Dembélé71%––
Désiré Doué58%––
Erling Haaland46%––
Maghnes Akliouche46%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last meeting
Paris Saint-Germain lead 1-04–2 on goals