Champions League Match Board — Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Every Champions League match on Wednesday, October 14, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 11 of 18 on Over 2.5.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. No pre-kick prices on these, so it's hit rate only.
Wednesday, October 14
Feyenoord RotterdamHOME43%2.1proj+132fair+266mkt
ComoAWAY34%1.8proj+190fair+102mkt
LASK LinzHOME34%1.3proj+196fair+980mkt
LiverpoolAWAY38%1.4proj+161fair-315mkt
AS RomaHOME39%1.9proj+160fair+283mkt
Real MadridAWAY38%1.8proj+162fair-101mkt
Aston VillaHOME64%2.5proj-174fair-129mkt
FenerbahceAWAY17%1.2proj+494fair+404mkt
Bodo/GlimtHOME64%2.7proj-179fair+229mkt
Borussia DortmundAWAY17%1.4proj+473fair+117mkt
Manchester CityHOME27%1.5proj+272fair+141mkt
Paris Saint-GermainAWAY50%2.1proj-102fair+190mkt
Shakhtar DonetskHOME57%2.0proj-132fair+180mkt
AEK AthensAWAY20%1.1proj+400fair+169mkt
Real BetisHOME74%3.0proj-279fair+129mkt
FC PortoAWAY11%1.2proj+798fair+230mkt
Slovan BratislavaHOME50%2.2proj-100fair+758mkt
VfB StuttgartAWAY28%1.6proj+258fair-255mktProb / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).