MatchWiz
Just now

Real Madrid vs AS Roma

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

RMAReal Madrid–ROMAAS Roma–3:00 PM ETOlimpico📺 Paramount+

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
MatchupProbProjWizLineMkt
3:00 PM ET
Proj1.9–1.8
ROMAAS RomaHOME39%1.9proj+160fair+283mkt
Draw23%—proj+329fair+322mkt
RMAReal MadridAWAY38%1.8proj+162fair-101mkt
O2.5 71%BTTS 72%1H O1.5 50%
Paramount+

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

Champions League table
Away
RMAReal Madrid14th3 pts1-0-0WWLLW
Home
ROMAAS Roma17th1 pts0-1-0D

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Goals60%––
Vinícius Júnior1+ Goals38%––
Federico Valverde1+ Goals30%––
Kylian Mbappé2+ Goals23%––
Arda Güler1+ Goals19%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Shots98%––
Vinícius Júnior1+ Shots98%––
Kylian Mbappé2+ Shots92%––
Vinícius Júnior2+ Shots90%––
Jude Bellingham1+ Shots85%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé1+ Shots on Target89%––
Vinícius Júnior1+ Shots on Target76%––
Kylian Mbappé2+ Shots on Target65%––
Jude Bellingham1+ Shots on Target54%––
Federico Valverde1+ Shots on Target48%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Vinícius JúniorO0.526%––
Brahim DíazO0.522%––
Federico ValverdeO0.522%––
Kylian MbappéO0.518%––
Arda GülerO0.517%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kylian Mbappé67%––
Vinícius Júnior54%––
Federico Valverde45%––
Arda Güler33%––
Brahim Díaz32%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).