Arsenal vs Napoli
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Arsenal–
Napoli–3:00 PM ETStadio Diego Armando Maradona📺 Paramount+Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Wednesday, September 9, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMkt
3:00 PM ET
Proj1.0–1.8
NapoliHOME20%1.0proj+410fair+426mktDraw25%—proj+298fair+293mkt
ArsenalAWAY55%1.8proj-124fair-122mktO2.5 53% · mkt 49%BTTS 54% · mkt 51%
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
Champions League tablePlayer props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Viktor Gyökeres1+ Goals32%39%+170Bukayo Saka1+ Goals27%29%+250Noni Madueke1+ Goals27%24%+350Mikel Merino1+ Goals21%25%+300Rasmus Højlund1+ Goals19%25%+340Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Viktor Gyökeres1+ Shots91%95%-2000Bukayo Saka1+ Shots89%97%-3000Noni Madueke1+ Shots86%95%-2000Rasmus Højlund1+ Shots80%93%-1250Declan Rice1+ Shots74%76%-310Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Bukayo Saka1+ Shots on Target63%66%-190Viktor Gyökeres1+ Shots on Target62%65%-185Noni Madueke1+ Shots on Target55%62%-165Rasmus Højlund1+ Shots on Target48%61%-155Matteo Politano1+ Shots on Target38%44%+125Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Martín ZubimendiO0.515%9%+1000Bukayo SakaO0.514%28%+260Declan RiceO0.513%24%+310Viktor GyökeresO0.513%22%+360Myles Lewis-SkellyO0.512%13%+700Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).