Champions League Match Board — Wednesday, September 9, 2026
Every Champions League match on Wednesday, September 9, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
2025-26 · last season · all graded matches
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. No pre-kick prices on these, so it's hit rate only.
Wednesday, September 9
MatchupProbProjFairMkt
BarcelonaHOME60%2.5proj-147fair-730mktDraw20%—proj+397fair+1163mkt
Feyenoord RotterdamAWAY20%1.4proj+392fair+2315mktO2.5 74%BTTS 70% · mkt 51%
Paramount+
VfB StuttgartHOME47%2.0proj+112fair-334mktDraw24%—proj+323fair+633mkt
Viking FKAWAY29%1.5proj+244fair+1000mktO2.5 68%BTTS 68% · mkt 59%
CBSSN · Paramount+
NapoliHOME20%1.0proj+410fair+426mktDraw25%—proj+298fair+293mkt
ArsenalAWAY55%1.8proj-124fair-122mktO2.5 53% · mkt 49%BTTS 54% · mkt 51%
Paramount+
LiverpoolHOME43%1.7proj+134fair-127mktDraw25%—proj+294fair+329mkt
Atlético MadridAWAY32%1.5proj+214fair+387mktO2.5 62% · mkt 58%BTTS 64% · mkt 59%
Paramount+
Sporting CPHOME58%2.1proj-137fair-109mktDraw22%—proj+347fair+310mkt
GalatasarayAWAY20%1.2proj+404fair+330mktO2.5 64% · mkt 58%BTTS 62% · mkt 60%
CBSSN · Paramount+
Paris Saint-GermainHOME77%3.2proj-334fair-1202mktDraw14%—proj+638fair+1776mkt
Slovan BratislavaAWAY10%1.2proj+952fair+4685mktO2.5 81%BTTS 66% · mkt 37%
Paramount+
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).