Real Madrid vs Benfica
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Real Madrid2
Benfica4Full timeEstádio da LuzBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Wednesday, January 28, 2026MatchupProbProjFairMkt
FT · 4–2
Proj1.2–1.9
BenficaHOME23%1.2proj+332fair—mktDraw25%—proj+303fair—mkt
Real MadridAWAY✗52%1.9proj-108fair—mktO2.5 58% ✓BTTS 60% ✓
Paramount+
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
Champions League tableAway
HomeBenficaNot in the table
BenficaNot in the tableHead to head
Last 3 meetingsReal Madrid lead 2-15–5 on goals