Orlando City SC vs Red Bull New York
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Orlando2
Red Bull NY3Full timeRed Bull ArenaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 1, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
xG2.0–1.6
Red Bull New YorkHOME✓47%2.0xG+114fair+148mktModel lean+6.5%Draw23%—xG+334fair+327mkt-0.4%
Orlando City SCAWAY30%1.6xG+232fair+175mkt-6.2%O2.5 71% ✓BTTS 71% · mkt 72% ✓
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Martín Ojeda1+ Goals42%41%+145DNPJulian Hall1+ Goals42%44%+150✗ 0Justin Ellis1+ Goals29%––✗ 0Jorge Ruvalcaba1+ Goals28%––DNPEmil Forsberg1+ Goals20%33%+250✓ 1Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Martín Ojeda1+ Shots97%––DNPJorge Ruvalcaba1+ Shots94%––DNPJulian Hall1+ Shots90%98%-5000✓ 5Justin Ellis1+ Shots87%––✗ 0Cade Cowell1+ Shots86%99%-7000✓ 2Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Martín Ojeda1+ Shots on Target79%77%-335DNPJorge Ruvalcaba1+ Shots on Target65%––DNPJulian Hall1+ Shots on Target65%76%-278✓ 3Justin Ellis1+ Shots on Target60%––✗ 0Cade Cowell1+ Shots on Target59%73%-235✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Cade CowellO0.521%32%+210✓ 2Martín OjedaO0.520%––DNPIván AnguloO0.519%30%+230✗ 0Ronald DonkorO0.517%20%+400✗ 0Emil ForsbergO0.517%37%+170✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Martín Ojeda54%––DNPJulian Hall48%––✗ 0Justin Ellis38%––✗ 0Jorge Ruvalcaba38%––DNPCade Cowell35%––✓ 2Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsRed Bull New York lead 4-02 draws9–5 on goals