MatchWiz

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union

The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.

ATLAtlanta2PHIPhiladelphia3Full timeSubaru Park

Box score

Final

What the model says

Saturday, August 1, 2026
MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
xG2.01.2
PHIPhiladelphia UnionHOME56%2.0xG-128fair-153mkt-4.3%
Draw23%xG+329fair+360mkt+1.6%
ATLAtlanta United FCAWAY21%1.2xG+387fair+457mkt+2.6%
O2.5 62% · mkt 60% BTTS 61% · mkt 58%

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.

Going in

MLS table
Away
ATLAtlanta United FC14th22 pts6-4-13WWWLD
Home
PHIPhiladelphia Union9th27 pts7-6-10WDDWW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Goals42%49%+130 1
Bruno Damiani1+ Goals29%41%+155 0
Miguel Almirón1+ Goals27%23%+440 1
Emmanuel Latte Lath1+ Goals23%28%+255DNP
Cavan Sullivan1+ Goals21%25%+320 0
PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots97% 7
Miguel Almirón1+ Shots93%91%-1000 1
Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots90% 4
Bruno Damiani1+ Shots88%99%-10000 2
Milan Iloski2+ Shots88%98%-4000 7

Shots on Target

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PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots on Target78%83%-385 2
Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots on Target65% 2
Miguel Almirón1+ Shots on Target64%56%-120 1
Aleksey Miranchuk1+ Shots on Target52%55%-115 0
Bruno Damiani1+ Shots on Target46%77%-305 0
PlayerOursMktPrice
Kai WagnerO0.523%34%+190 2
Miguel AlmirónO0.518%24%+320 0
Frankie WestfieldO0.518%36%+180 0
Cavan SullivanO0.518% 0
Aleksey MiranchukO0.517%19%+420 1

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski51% 1
Miguel Almirón40% 1
Cavan Sullivan35% 0
Bruno Damiani34% 0
Aleksey Miranchuk33% 1

Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Philadelphia Union lead 3-12 draws118 on goals