Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Atlanta2
Philadelphia3Full timeSubaru ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 1, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
xG2.0–1.2
Philadelphia UnionHOME✓56%2.0xG-128fair-153mkt-4.3%Draw23%—xG+329fair+360mkt+1.6%
Atlanta United FCAWAY21%1.2xG+387fair+457mkt+2.6%O2.5 62% · mkt 60% ✓BTTS 61% · mkt 58% ✓
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Goals42%49%+130✓ 1
Bruno Damiani1+ Goals29%41%+155✗ 0
Miguel Almirón1+ Goals27%23%+440✓ 1
Emmanuel Latte Lath1+ Goals23%28%+255DNP
Cavan Sullivan1+ Goals21%25%+320✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots97%––✓ 7
Miguel Almirón1+ Shots93%91%-1000✓ 1
Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots90%––✓ 4
Bruno Damiani1+ Shots88%99%-10000✓ 2
Milan Iloski2+ Shots88%98%-4000✓ 7Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots on Target78%83%-385✓ 2
Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots on Target65%––✓ 2
Miguel Almirón1+ Shots on Target64%56%-120✓ 1
Aleksey Miranchuk1+ Shots on Target52%55%-115✗ 0
Bruno Damiani1+ Shots on Target46%77%-305✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kai WagnerO0.523%34%+190✓ 2
Miguel AlmirónO0.518%24%+320✗ 0
Frankie WestfieldO0.518%36%+180✗ 0
Cavan SullivanO0.518%––✗ 0
Aleksey MiranchukO0.517%19%+420✓ 1Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski51%––✓ 1
Miguel Almirón40%––✓ 1
Cavan Sullivan35%––✗ 0
Bruno Damiani34%––✗ 0
Aleksey Miranchuk33%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsPhiladelphia Union lead 3-12 draws11–8 on goals
Aug 1, 26Atlanta United FC at Philadelphia Union2–3Mar 14, 26Philadelphia Union at Atlanta United FC1–3May 17, 25Philadelphia Union at Atlanta United FC1–0Apr 19, 25Atlanta United FC at Philadelphia Union0–3Sep 28, 24Atlanta United FC at Philadelphia Union1–1Apr 14, 24Philadelphia Union at Atlanta United FC2–2