LA Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo FC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
LA Galaxy0
Houston1Full timeShell Energy StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 15, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–0
xG1.7–1.2
Houston Dynamo FCHOME✓48%1.7xG+111fair-122mkt-7.4%Draw27%—xG+277fair+328mkt+3.1%
LA GalaxyAWAY26%1.2xG+285fair+366mktModel lean+4.5%O2.5 54% · mkt 58% ✗BTTS 57% · mkt 57% ✗
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Gabriel Pec1+ Goals30%––DNPJoseph Paintsil1+ Goals28%25%+350DNPMarco Reus1+ Goals27%22%+370DNPJoão Klauss1+ Goals26%––DNPMateusz Bogusz1+ Goals23%30%+250DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Gabriel Pec1+ Shots95%––DNPMateusz Bogusz1+ Shots93%98%-5000DNPGuilherme1+ Shots91%98%-5000DNPJoseph Paintsil1+ Shots86%93%-1250DNPJoão Klauss1+ Shots85%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Gabriel Pec1+ Shots on Target75%––DNPMateusz Bogusz1+ Shots on Target71%74%-280DNPGuilherme1+ Shots on Target67%79%-370DNPJoseph Paintsil1+ Shots on Target60%68%-210DNPJoão Klauss1+ Shots on Target55%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Marco ReusO0.523%26%+280DNPJack McGlynnO0.517%39%+155DNPGabriel PecO0.517%––DNPGuilhermeO0.516%43%+130DNPHarbor MillerO0.514%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Marco Reus43%––DNPGabriel Pec42%––DNPJoseph Paintsil36%––DNPGuilherme33%––DNPMateusz Bogusz32%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsHouston Dynamo FC lead 2-13 draws7–6 on goals