Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Miami1
Nashville4Full timeGEODIS ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 15, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 4–1
xG1.8–1.6
Nashville SCHOME✓41%1.8xG+142fair+145mkt+0.4%Draw24%—xG+312fair+293mkt-1.2%
Inter Miami CFAWAY34%1.6xG+190fair+195mkt+0.5%O2.5 67% ✓BTTS 68% · mkt 68% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
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Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Luis Suárez1+ Goals57%39%+185DNPLionel Messi1+ Goals52%52%+100DNPSam Surridge1+ Goals46%48%+125DNPGermán Berterame1+ Goals43%40%+185DNPHany Mukhtar1+ Goals31%35%+195DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots99%––DNPLuis Suárez1+ Shots97%99%-7000DNPLionel Messi2+ Shots97%96%-2500DNPHany Mukhtar1+ Shots94%99%-7000DNPGermán Berterame1+ Shots92%99%-7000DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots on Target87%87%-650DNPLuis Suárez1+ Shots on Target84%80%-390DNPSam Surridge1+ Shots on Target72%88%-750DNPGermán Berterame1+ Shots on Target70%78%-350DNPHany Mukhtar1+ Shots on Target69%78%-360DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel MessiO0.538%43%+130DNPRodrigo de PaulO0.525%17%+480DNPCristian EspinozaO0.524%34%+195DNPGermán BerterameO0.523%20%+400DNPLuis SuárezO0.521%27%+270DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi70%––DNPLuis Suárez66%––DNPGermán Berterame56%––DNPSam Surridge52%––DNPHany Mukhtar42%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsInter Miami CF lead 4-216–10 on goals