Sporting Kansas City vs Colorado Rapids
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Kansas City0
Colorado2Full timeDick's Sporting Goods ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 15, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–0
xG2.1–1.0
Colorado RapidsHOME✓61%2.1xG-157fair-174mkt-2.4%Draw22%—xG+349fair+406mkt+2.5%
Sporting Kansas CityAWAY17%1.0xG+502fair+504mkt+0.0%O2.5 60% ✗BTTS 57% · mkt 60% ✗
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafael Navarro1+ Goals48%55%-120DNP
Dejan Joveljic1+ Goals25%34%+210DNP
Georgi Minoungou1+ Goals21%––DNP
Calvin Harris1+ Goals20%18%+550DNP
Paxten Aaronson1+ Goals20%34%+230DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafael Navarro1+ Shots96%––DNP
Paxten Aaronson1+ Shots89%97%-3000DNP
Calvin Harris1+ Shots84%91%-1000DNP
Dejan Joveljic1+ Shots83%91%-1000DNP
Rafael Navarro2+ Shots83%94%-1500DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafael Navarro1+ Shots on Target76%––DNP
Paxten Aaronson1+ Shots on Target63%74%-290DNP
Dejan Joveljic1+ Shots on Target61%75%-300DNP
Calvin Harris1+ Shots on Target46%53%-115DNP
Taylor Calheira1+ Shots on Target43%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Paxten AaronsonO0.520%30%+230DNP
Georgi MinoungouO0.515%––DNP
Rafael NavarroO0.512%36%+180DNP
Calvin HarrisO0.511%24%+320DNP
Manu GarcíaO0.510%28%+260DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Rafael Navarro54%––DNP
Paxten Aaronson36%––DNP
Georgi Minoungou33%––DNP
Dejan Joveljic31%––DNP
Calvin Harris29%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsLevel at 3 apiece12–12 on goals
Aug 15, 26Sporting Kansas City at Colorado Rapids0–2Mar 21, 26Colorado Rapids at Sporting Kansas City4–1Aug 30, 25Colorado Rapids at Sporting Kansas City2–4Jul 4, 25Sporting Kansas City at Colorado Rapids2–1Sep 18, 24Colorado Rapids at Sporting Kansas City1–4Jul 4, 24Sporting Kansas City at Colorado Rapids1–2