St. Louis CITY SC vs San Jose Earthquakes
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
St. Louis3
San Jose1Full timePayPal ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 15, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–3
xG2.0–1.5
San Jose EarthquakesHOME✗50%2.0xG+100fair+118mkt+4.0%Draw23%—xG+328fair+308mkt-1.2%
St. Louis CITY SCAWAY27%1.5xG+273fair+235mkt-3.1%O2.5 67% ✓BTTS 67% · mkt 66% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Preston Judd1+ Goals45%42%+145DNP
Simon Becher1+ Goals40%34%+205DNPJosef Martínez1+ Goals38%––DNP
Timo Werner1+ Goals37%36%+200DNP
Marcel Hartel1+ Goals35%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots97%––DNP
Preston Judd1+ Shots97%98%-5000DNP
Cristian Arango1+ Shots96%––DNP
Simon Becher1+ Shots94%98%-4000DNP
Timo Werner1+ Shots93%97%-3000DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Preston Judd1+ Shots on Target77%79%-380DNP
Timo Werner1+ Shots on Target76%––DNP
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots on Target75%––DNP
Cristian Arango1+ Shots on Target69%––DNPJosef Martínez1+ Shots on Target67%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Timo WernerO0.529%26%+280DNP
Niko TsakirisO0.526%23%+330DNP
Marcel HartelO0.524%––DNP
Ousseni BoudaO0.520%17%+480DNP
Cristian ArangoO0.517%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Timo Werner56%––DNP
Preston Judd52%––DNP
Marcel Hartel51%––DNP
Simon Becher49%––DNP
Niko Tsakiris47%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsSt. Louis CITY SC lead 5-114–7 on goals
Aug 15, 26St. Louis CITY SC at San Jose Earthquakes3–1Apr 25, 26San Jose Earthquakes at St. Louis CITY SC3–2Sep 20, 25St. Louis CITY SC at San Jose Earthquakes3–1May 31, 25San Jose Earthquakes at St. Louis CITY SC1–2Sep 21, 24St. Louis CITY SC at San Jose Earthquakes2–1Jul 3, 24San Jose Earthquakes at St. Louis CITY SC0–2