New England Revolution vs D.C. United
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
New England3
D.C. United0Full timeAudi FieldBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Wednesday, August 19, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 0–3
xG1.7–1.4
D.C. UnitedHOME✗43%1.7xG+131fair+168mktModel lean+6.0%Draw26%—xG+286fair+277mkt-0.6%
New England RevolutionAWAY31%1.4xG+225fair+175mkt-5.6%O2.5 59% · mkt 58% ✓BTTS 62% · mkt 62% ✗
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Tai Baribo1+ Goals45%––✗ 0Louis Munteanu1+ Goals29%37%+210✗ 0Dor Turgeman1+ Goals28%34%+195✗ 0Leonardo Campana1+ Goals24%––DNPCarles Gil1+ Goals23%34%+195✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Louis Munteanu1+ Shots94%99%-10000✓ 2Tai Baribo1+ Shots91%––✓ 2Dor Turgeman1+ Shots86%96%-2500✓ 2Peyton Miller1+ Shots85%94%-1500✓ 2Carles Gil1+ Shots83%95%-2000✓ 4Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Louis Munteanu1+ Shots on Target73%83%-475✗ 0Tai Baribo1+ Shots on Target68%––✗ 0Peyton Miller1+ Shots on Target55%66%-190✗ 0Dor Turgeman1+ Shots on Target51%71%-250✓ 2Carles Gil1+ Shots on Target50%66%-190✓ 2Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
PeglowO0.519%33%+200DNPCarles GilO0.517%30%+230✗ 0Alhassan YusufO0.515%12%+750✗ 0Peyton MillerO0.511%26%+280✓ 1Matt PolsterO0.511%12%+750✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Tai Baribo49%––✗ 0Carles Gil37%––✗ 0Louis Munteanu35%––✗ 0Dor Turgeman33%––✗ 0Peglow32%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsNew England Revolution lead 3-21 draw9–6 on goals