MLS Match Board — Wednesday, August 19, 2026
Every MLS match on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 435 of 449 on ML, 252 of 449 on Over 2.5, 197 of 449 on BTTS.
Wednesday, August 19
FC CincinnatiHOME✓44%1.9xG+125fair+101mkt-5.3%
New York City FCAWAY32%1.6xG+217fair+269mktModel lean+4.4%
Toronto FCHOME✗38%1.4xG+164fair+146mkt-2.9%
Charlotte FCAWAY34%1.3xG+194fair+197mkt+0.3%
Columbus CrewHOME✗51%1.8xG-103fair-126mkt-4.9%
CF MontréalAWAY24%1.2xG+322fair+379mkt+2.8%
Philadelphia UnionHOME✗43%2.0xG+131fair+140mkt+1.7%
Inter Miami CFAWAY34%1.8xG+193fair+177mkt-1.9%
Red Bull New YorkHOME37%1.7xG+170fair+181mkt+1.4%
Nashville SCAWAY✓38%1.7xG+162fair+159mkt-0.5%
D.C. UnitedHOME✗43%1.7xG+131fair+168mktModel lean+6.0%
New England RevolutionAWAY31%1.4xG+225fair+175mkt-5.6%
Orlando City SCHOME38%1.8xG+162fair+177mkt+2.0%
Chicago Fire FCAWAY✓38%1.8xG+161fair+149mkt-1.8%
Sporting Kansas CityHOME24%1.2xG+321fair+310mkt-0.7%
St. Louis CITY SCAWAY✗52%1.9xG-107fair-106mkt+0.1%
Minnesota United FCHOME✗53%1.9xG-113fair-138mkt-5.0%
Atlanta United FCAWAY23%1.2xG+344fair+416mkt+3.1%
Seattle Sounders FCHOME✗59%2.1xG-142fair-112mktModel lean+5.9%
Austin FCAWAY19%1.1xG+434fair+352mkt-3.4%
Colorado RapidsHOME✓39%1.5xG+158fair+159mkt+0.2%
LAFCAWAY34%1.4xG+195fair+186mkt-1.1%
Real Salt LakeHOME✗39%1.6xG+153fair+112mkt-7.8%
FC DallasAWAY34%1.5xG+193fair+269mktModel lean+7.0%
Portland TimbersHOME✓45%1.8xG+123fair+108mkt-3.2%
San Diego FCAWAY31%1.5xG+225fair+246mkt+1.8%
Vancouver WhitecapsHOME✗61%1.9xG-158fair-159mkt-0.1%
Houston Dynamo FCAWAY15%0.9xG+549fair+495mkt-1.4%
LA GalaxyHOME✓43%2.0xG+134fair+136mkt+0.5%
San Jose EarthquakesAWAY34%1.8xG+193fair+202mkt+1.0%Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).