Inter Miami CF vs Philadelphia Union
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Miami2
Philadelphia2Full timeSubaru ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Wednesday, August 19, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–2
xG2.0–1.8
Philadelphia UnionHOME✗43%2.0xG+131fair+140mkt+1.7%Draw23%—xG+344fair+346mkt+0.1%
Inter Miami CFAWAY34%1.8xG+193fair+177mkt-1.9%O2.5 74% ✓BTTS 74% · mkt 73% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Goals60%57%-125✓ 1Luis Suárez1+ Goals57%40%+185✗ 0Germán Berterame1+ Goals46%41%+180DNPMilan Iloski1+ Goals46%46%+120✗ 0Bruno Damiani1+ Goals37%38%+180✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots100%––✓ 3Milan Iloski1+ Shots99%99%-10000✓ 3Lionel Messi2+ Shots98%98%-5000✓ 3Luis Suárez1+ Shots97%99%-10000✗ 0Lionel Messi3+ Shots94%91%-1000✓ 3Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots on Target89%87%-650✓ 1Luis Suárez1+ Shots on Target84%80%-400✗ 0Milan Iloski1+ Shots on Target82%86%-600✓ 1Germán Berterame1+ Shots on Target72%78%-350DNPLionel Messi2+ Shots on Target65%59%-145✗ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel MessiO0.539%47%+115✗ 0Rodrigo de PaulO0.528%18%+450DNPGermán BerterameO0.525%21%+380DNPLuis SuárezO0.525%29%+240✓ 1Kai WagnerO0.525%33%+200✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi76%––✓ 1Luis Suárez68%––✓ 1Germán Berterame59%––DNPMilan Iloski56%––✓ 1Bruno Damiani43%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsInter Miami CF lead 4-02 draws18–12 on goals