Nashville SC vs Red Bull New York
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Nashville1
Red Bull NY0Full timeRed Bull ArenaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Wednesday, August 19, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 0–1
xG1.7–1.7
Red Bull New YorkHOME37%1.7xG+170fair+181mkt+1.4%Draw25%—xG+302fair+289mkt-0.9%
Nashville SCAWAY✓38%1.7xG+162fair+159mkt-0.5%O2.5 65% ✗BTTS 67% · mkt 67% ✗
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Goals56%48%+110✗ 0Hany Mukhtar1+ Goals37%36%+205✗ 0Julian Hall1+ Goals35%39%+160✗ 0Warren Madrigal1+ Goals28%32%+250DNPJorge Ruvalcaba1+ Goals22%31%+230✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots97%99%-10000✓ 3Sam Surridge1+ Shots95%99%-10000✓ 2Jorge Ruvalcaba1+ Shots90%99%-7000✓ 3Warren Madrigal1+ Shots90%98%-5000DNPCristian Espinoza1+ Shots88%98%-4000✗ 0Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Shots on Target78%87%-650✓ 1Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots on Target77%77%-330✓ 1Julian Hall1+ Shots on Target64%72%-260✗ 0Cristian Espinoza1+ Shots on Target57%70%-230✗ 0Jorge Ruvalcaba1+ Shots on Target57%75%-300✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Cristian EspinozaO0.531%33%+200✓ 1Cade CowellO0.521%27%+270✗ 0Hany MukhtarO0.520%36%+180✗ 0Warren MadrigalO0.517%––DNPShakur MohammedO0.516%––✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sam Surridge62%––✗ 0Hany Mukhtar50%––✗ 0Cristian Espinoza45%––✓ 1Julian Hall42%––✗ 0Warren Madrigal40%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsLevel at 2 apiece2 draws3–4 on goals