New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
NYCFC1
Cincinnati2Full timeTQL StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Wednesday, August 19, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
xG1.9–1.6
FC CincinnatiHOME✓44%1.9xG+125fair+101mkt-5.3%Draw24%—xG+315fair+319mkt+0.2%
New York City FCAWAY32%1.6xG+217fair+269mktModel lean+4.4%O2.5 67% ✓BTTS 68% · mkt 66% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kévin Denkey1+ Goals45%48%+140✗ 0Evander1+ Goals36%43%+145✓ 1Nicolás Fernández1+ Goals31%––✗ 0Benie Traore1+ Goals24%––✗ 0Agustín Ojeda1+ Goals22%22%+390✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Evander1+ Shots97%99%-10000✓ 5Kévin Denkey1+ Shots92%99%-7000✗ 0Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots90%––✓ 4Evander2+ Shots87%94%-1500✓ 5Agustín Ojeda1+ Shots85%87%-650✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Evander1+ Shots on Target80%85%-550✓ 2Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots on Target71%––✓ 1Kévin Denkey1+ Shots on Target70%––✗ 0Agustín Ojeda1+ Shots on Target53%57%-135✗ 0Andrés Perea1+ Shots on Target48%53%-115✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
EvanderO0.531%43%+135✗ 0Nicolás FernándezO0.520%––✗ 0Maxi MoralezO0.520%––DNPAgustín OjedaO0.519%26%+290✓ 1Ender EcheniqueO0.518%30%+230✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Evander56%––✓ 1Kévin Denkey51%––✗ 0Nicolás Fernández45%––✗ 0Agustín Ojeda37%––✓ 1Maxi Moralez34%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsNew York City FC lead 3-12 draws10–7 on goals